Certainties and Uncertainties in Our Energy and Climate Futures
06 Jun 2019 | | Contributor(s):: Steven E. Koonin
I’ll first discuss the certainties and uncertainties in our understanding of the earth’s changing climate and its response to human influences. The historical record, climate models, and projections through the next century will be reviewed in ways not usually covered in...
Quantifying Uncertainties in Physical Models
28 Aug 2017 | | Contributor(s):: Ilias Bilionis
Increasing modeling detail is not necessarily correlated with increasing predictive ability. Setting modeling and numerical discretization errors aside, the more detailed a model gets, the larger the number of parameters required to accurately specify its initial/boundary conditions, constitutive...